May 22, 2026
Thunder vs. Spurs prediction: San Antonio favored to win Game 3 of WCF 2026
Read Article NBA Playoffs player props today: Friday's best props include De'Aaron Fox [5/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NBA player props today with projections for Friday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for May 22, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama and Dylan Harper.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including today's Thunder vs. Spurs clash, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Friday's playoffs, 5/22
Below are the top NBA player props for May 22, ranked by probability.
De'Aaron Fox over 5.5 assists (+122)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 50.3%
- Projection: 5.6
- Game: Thunder vs. Spurs (8:30PM ET)
Our model has found value on San Antonio's De'Aaron Fox over 5.5 assists. A probability of 50.3% gives this play an edge of 5.2% at +122 odds.
Victor Wembanyama over 1.5 steals (+162)
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 46.2%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Thunder vs. Spurs (8:30PM ET)
Victor Wembanyama’s steals prop shows an 8.0% edge at +162 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.
Dylan Harper under 0.5 steals (+175)
- Edge: 5.9%
- Probability: 42.2%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Thunder vs. Spurs (8:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Dylan Harper under 0.5 steals, with simulations showing a 42.2% probability and a 5.9% edge at +175.
NBA player prop summary: Friday, May 22, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:12PM ET:
| Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox over 5.5 assists | +122 @ FanDuel | 5.2% | 50.3% |
| Victor Wembanyama over 1.5 steals | +162 @ DraftKings | 8.0% | 46.2% |
| Dylan Harper under 0.5 steals | +175 @ DraftKings | 5.9% | 42.2% |
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Conclusion
For May 22, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama and Dylan Harper. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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