NBA Playoffs player props today: Saturday's best props include Ajay Mitchell [5/9/2026]

Ajay Mitchell under 14.5 points scored (+135)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 48.6%
• Projection: 15.1
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Oklahoma City's Ajay Mitchell under 14.5 points scored. A probability of 48.6% gives this play an edge of 6.0% at +135 odds.

LeBron James over 1.5 steals (+177)

• Edge: 10.1%
• Probability: 46.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

LeBron James’s steals prop shows a 10.1% edge at +177 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds (+185)

• Edge: 10.9%
• Probability: 45.9%
• Projection: 4.8
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 45.9% probability and a 10.9% edge at +185.

LeBron James over 7.5 rebounds (+150)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 45.1%
• Projection: 6.6
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Our model projects LeBron James to record 6.6 rebounds today, creating an edge of 5.1% on the over 7.5 line at +150 odds.

Deandre Ayton under 0.5 blocks (+155)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 45.0%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Deandre Ayton under 0.5 blocks for LA Lakers, showing an edge of 5.8% at +155 odds.

Chet Holmgren over 1.5 steals (+174)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 44.8%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Chet Holmgren’s steals prop shows an edge of 8.3% at +174 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 today.

LeBron James over 9.5 assists (+225)

• Edge: 10.7%
• Probability: 41.5%
• Projection: 8.0
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Our model projects LeBron James for 8.0 assists for LA Lakers, creating an edge of 10.7% on over 9.5 at +225 odds.

LeBron James to score first basket (+700)

• Edge: 1.2%
• Probability: 13.7%
• Game: Thunder vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

The data shows value on LeBron James to score first basket, supported by a 13.7% probability at +700 odds and an edge of 1.2%.

NBA player prop summary: Saturday, May 9, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:32PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Thunder vs. Lakers	Ajay Mitchell under 14.5 points scored	+135 @ Fanatics	6.0%	48.6%
Thunder vs. Lakers	LeBron James over 1.5 steals	+177 @ DraftKings	10.1%	46.2%
Thunder vs. Lakers	Austin Reaves over 5.5 rebounds	+185 @ Fanatics	5.1%	45.1%
Thunder vs. Lakers	LeBron James over 7.5 rebounds	+150 @ Fanatics	5.1%	45.1%
Thunder vs. Lakers	Deandre Ayton under 0.5 blocks	+155 @ BetMGM	5.8%	45.0%
Thunder vs. Lakers	Chet Holmgren over 1.5 steals	+174 @ DraftKings	8.3%	44.8%
Thunder vs. Lakers	LeBron James over 9.5 assists	+225 @ Fanatics	10.7%	41.5%
Thunder vs. Lakers	LeBron James to score first basket	+700 @ FanDuel	1.2%	13.7%

Maximize your winning Potential with Dimers Pro's NBA best props

Curious about the added power of our NBA prop picks with Dimers Pro? Watch this explainer video to see how you can elevate your betting strategy and maximize your winning potential.

NBA postseason promo code for Novig

To make the most of Saturday's prop picks—headlined by action on Ajay Mitchell—check out the below offer from Novig.

Conclusion

For May 9, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Ajay Mitchell, LeBron James and Austin Reaves. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.