NBA Playoffs player props today: Thursday's best props include James Harden [5/21/2026]

James Harden over 6.5 assists (+124)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 52.4%
• Projection: 6.9
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Cleveland's James Harden over 6.5 assists. A probability of 52.4% gives this play an edge of 7.8% at +124 odds.

Jarrett Allen over 1.5 blocks (+137)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 48.5%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

Jarrett Allen’s blocks prop shows a 6.4% edge at +137 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 blocks on the over 1.5 line.

OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals (+139)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 46.9%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on OG Anunoby over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 46.9% probability and a 5.1% edge at +139.

Josh Hart over 1.5 steals (+174)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 46.1%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Josh Hart to put up 1.2 steals today, creating an edge of 9.6% on the over 1.5 line at +174 odds.

Donovan Mitchell to score first basket (+600)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 16.6%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Donovan Mitchell to score first basket for Cleveland, showing an edge of 2.4% at +600 odds.

OG Anunoby to score first basket (+950)

• Edge: 0.2%
• Probability: 9.8%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

OG Anunoby’s to score first basket prop shows an edge of 0.2% at +950 odds, supported by a 9.8% probability according to our model.

Mikal Bridges to score first basket (+1000)

• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 9.5%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Mikal Bridges to score first basket for New York, with a 9.5% probability and a 0.4% edge at +1000 odds.

Josh Hart to score first basket (+1500)

• Edge: 0.1%
• Probability: 6.3%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Knicks (8:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Josh Hart to score first basket, supported by a 6.3% probability at +1500 odds and an edge of 0.1%.

NBA player prop summary: Thursday, May 21, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:06AM ET:

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Conclusion

For May 21, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as James Harden, Jarrett Allen and OG Anunoby. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.