NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Zion Williamson [12/18/2025]

Zion Williamson over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 12.3%
• Probability: 48.2%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Rockets vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on New Orleans' Zion Williamson over 1.5 steals. A probability of 48.2% gives this play an edge of 12.3% at +178 odds.

Derik Queen over 1.5 steals (+182)

• Edge: 9.5%
• Probability: 44.9%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Rockets vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

Derik Queen’s steals prop shows a 9.5% edge at +182 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Shaedon Sharpe over 1.5 steals (+173)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 46.1%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Kings vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Shaedon Sharpe over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 46.1% probability and a 9.4% edge at +173.

Kyshawn George over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 45.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Wizards vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Kyshawn George to record 1.2 steals today, creating an edge of 9.2% on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds.

Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks (+162)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 47.3%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Raptors vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks for Toronto, showing an edge of 9.2% at +162 odds.

Jaxson Hayes over 1.5 blocks (+148)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 49.1%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Lakers vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Jaxson Hayes’s blocks prop shows an edge of 8.8% at +148 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.4 today.

Alex Caruso over 1.5 steals (+138)

• Edge: 8.7%
• Probability: 50.8%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Clippers vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Alex Caruso for 1.5 steals for Oklahoma City, creating an edge of 8.7% on over 1.5 at +138 odds.

Deni Avdija over 2.5 3-pointers made (+141)

• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 50.0%
• Projection: 2.5
• Game: Kings vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Deni Avdija for 2.5 3-pointers made, creating value on the over 2.5 line at +141 odds and a 8.6% edge.

Jeremiah Fears over 1.5 steals (+170)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 45.4%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Rockets vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET)

An 8.4% edge on the over 2.5 steals line makes Jeremiah Fears a value play in Rockets vs. Pelicans, with our model projecting him for 1.2 steals at +170 odds.

Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 48.2%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Warriors vs. Suns (9:00PM ET)

Simulations project Stephen Curry for 1.4 steals here, creating a 7.9% edge on the over 1.5 line at +148 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Thursday, December 18, 2025

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 8:14PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Rockets vs. Pelicans	Zion Williamson over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	12.3%	48.2%
Rockets vs. Pelicans	Derik Queen over 1.5 steals	+182 @ FanDuel	9.5%	44.9%
Kings vs. Trail Blazers	Shaedon Sharpe over 1.5 steals	+173 @ DraftKings	9.2%	45.2%
Wizards vs. Spurs	Kyshawn George over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	9.2%	45.2%
Raptors vs. Bucks	Scottie Barnes over 1.5 blocks	+162 @ FanDuel	9.2%	47.3%
Lakers vs. Jazz	Jaxson Hayes over 1.5 blocks	+148 @ FanDuel	8.8%	49.1%
Clippers vs. Thunder	Alex Caruso over 1.5 steals	+138 @ FanDuel	8.7%	50.8%
Kings vs. Trail Blazers	Deni Avdija over 2.5 3-pointers made	+141 @ DraftKings	8.6%	50.0%
Rockets vs. Pelicans	Jeremiah Fears over 2.5 steals	+170 @ DraftKings	8.4%	45.4%
Warriors vs. Suns	Stephen Curry over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	7.9%	48.2%

Conclusion

For December 18, 2025, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Zion Williamson, Derik Queen and Shaedon Sharpe. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.