Mets vs. Giants prediction: Mets favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [4/3/2026]

The San Francisco Giants will square off with the New York Mets, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Oracle Park on Friday, beginning at 10:15 PM ET.

The Giants will send Tyler Mahle (0-1, 4.50 ERA) to the mound, up against Nolan McLean (0-0, 3.60 ERA) for the Mets.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Mets a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Giants.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's Mets vs. Giants matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mets vs. Giants prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Giants, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Mets a 53% chance of beating the Giants.

According to our model, the Giants (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 54% chance of going over.

Mets vs. Giants odds [4/3/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mets vs. Giants picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: