Mets vs. Giants prediction: San Francisco favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [4/5/2026]

The San Francisco Giants and New York Mets will lock horns in MLB action at Oracle Park on Sunday, starting at 4:05 PM ET.

The Giants will start Logan Webb (1-1, 7.36 ERA), up against Kodai Senga (0-1, 3.00 ERA) for the Mets.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Giants a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Mets.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Mets vs. Giants matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mets vs. Giants prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB game between the Mets and Giants, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Giants a 53% chance of defeating the Mets.

According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the 7-run over/under has a 57% chance of going over.

Mets vs. Giants odds [4/5/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mets vs. Giants picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: