Mets vs. Giants prediction: Mets favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [4/2/2026]

MLB action continues on Thursday at 9:45 PM ET as the New York Mets square off with the San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park.

The Giants will start Robbie Ray (0-1, 3.38 ERA), pitting him against David Peterson (0-0, 0.00 ERA) for the Mets.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Mets a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Giants.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's Mets vs. Giants matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mets vs. Giants prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Giants, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mets a 52% chance of beating the Giants.

According to our model, the Giants (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 53% chance of going over.

Mets vs. Giants odds [4/2/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mets vs. Giants picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below: