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Read Article Mets vs. Nationals prediction: Why Mets are favored to win Monday's MLB matchup [5/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Mets vs Washington Nationals predictions for MLB Monday.
The Washington Nationals will take on the New York Mets in MLB action at Nationals Park on Monday, starting at 6:45 PM ET.
The Nationals will have Jake Irvin (1-4, 5.91 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Mets have opted for Christian Scott (0-0, 3.45 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model predicts the Mets as the most likely winner of the Mets vs. Nationals game.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Nationals prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Nationals, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Mets a 55% chance of beating the Nationals.
According to our model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 56% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 10 runs has a 55% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Nationals odds [5/18/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+126) | +1.5 (-149) |
| Moneyline | -125 | +108 |
| Total | o10 (-114) | u10 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Nationals picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets -1.5 | +126 |
| Moneyline | Mets | -125 |
| Total | Over 10 | -114 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 10 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Nationals game-day updates and essential details
Monday's MLB game between the Nationals and Mets at Nationals Park is scheduled to commence at 6:45 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals
- Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
- Time: 6:45 PM ET/3:45PM PT
- Venue: Nationals Park
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals in Monday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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