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Read Article Mets vs. Nationals prediction: Why Mets are favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [5/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Mets vs Washington Nationals predictions for MLB Tuesday.
The Washington Nationals will face the New York Mets in MLB action at Nationals Park on Tuesday, starting at 6:45 PM ET.
Foster Griffin (4-2, 3.53 ERA) will get the ball for the Nationals, pitting him against Nolan McLean (2-2, 2.92 ERA) for the Mets.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Mets as the most likely winner of the Mets vs. Nationals game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Nationals prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Nationals, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Mets a 56% chance of beating the Nationals.
According to our model, the Nationals (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the run line, while the 9-run over/under has a 55% chance of going over.
Mets vs. Nationals odds [5/19/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Nationals |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+115) | +1.5 (-136) |
| Moneyline | -134 | +120 |
| Total | o9 (-104) | u9 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Nationals picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Nationals +1.5 | -136 |
| Moneyline | Nationals | +120 |
| Total | Over 9 | -104 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Nationals game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Nationals and Mets at Nationals Park is scheduled to begin at 6:45 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals
- Date: Tuesday, May 19, 2026
- Time: 6:45 PM ET/3:45PM PT
- Venue: Nationals Park
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Nationals in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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