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Parramatta Eels vs. New Zealand Warriors prediction: Why Warriors are favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 9 matchup [5/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Parramatta Eels vs New Zealand Warriors predictions for NRL Saturday.
NRL action continues on Saturday at 3:30 AM ET as the favored New Zealand Warriors square off with the Parramatta Eels at Bankwest Stadium.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NRL model predicts the Warriors as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Eels game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Eels vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win Round 9 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NRL game between the Warriors and Eels, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Warriors a 69% chance of defeating the Eels.
According to our model, the Warriors (-6.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 53.5 points has a 62% chance of staying under.
Warriors vs. Eels odds
We have researched the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Warriors | Eels |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -213 | +165 |
| Line (Spread) | -6.5 (-115) | +6.5 (-115) |
| Total | o53.5 (-114) | u53.5 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Warriors vs. Eels picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Warriors -6.5 | bet_rivers_in-115 |
| Moneyline | Warriors | bet_rivers_in-213 |
| Total | Under 53.5 | -114 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 53.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Eels vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rugby league action between the Eels and Warriors at Bankwest Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:30 AM ET.
- Who: New Zealand Warriors vs. Parramatta Eels
- Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
- Time: 3:30 AM ET/12:30AM PT
- Venue: Bankwest Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Warriors, with a 69% win probability, will likely beat the Eels in Saturday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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