Penrith Panthers vs. New Zealand Warriors prediction: Why Panthers are favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 13 matchup [5/31/2026]

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Written by Damien Souness

Get Penrith Panthers vs New Zealand Warriors predictions for NRL Sunday.

Penrith Panthers-New Zealand Warriors Predictions and Game Preview.
Penrith Panthers vs. New Zealand Warriors NRL prediction for Sunday, May 31, 2026.

The Penrith Panthers will face the New Zealand Warriors in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Bankwest Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 4:15 AM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NRL model predicts the Panthers as the most likely winner of the Warriors vs. Panthers game.

This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Panthers vs. Warriors prediction: Who will win Round 13 game?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NRL game between the Warriors and Panthers, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Panthers a 63% chance of beating the Warriors.

According to our model, the Panthers (-1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the 46.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

 

Warriors vs. Panthers odds

We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Warriors Panthers
H2H (Moneyline) -106 -120
Line (Spread) +1.5 (-105) -1.5 (-120)
Total o46.5 (-109) u46.5 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Warriors vs. Panthers picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Panthers -1.5 bet_rivers_in-120
Moneyline Panthers bet_rivers_in-120
Total Under 46.5 -118

According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Panthers to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Panthers vs. Warriors game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's Australian rugby league game between the Panthers and Warriors at Bankwest Stadium is scheduled to commence at 4:15 AM ET.

  • Who: New Zealand Warriors vs. Penrith Panthers
  • Date: Sunday, May 31, 2026
  • Time: 4:15 AM ET/1:15AM PT
  • Venue: Bankwest Stadium

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Conclusion

We predict the Panthers, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Warriors in Sunday's NRL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Experience Officer

Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.

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