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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Newcastle Knights prediction: Bulldogs favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 4 matchup [3/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights predictions for NRL Saturday.
The Canterbury Bulldogs will take on the Newcastle Knights in National Rugby League (NRL) action at Stadium Australia on Saturday, beginning at 12:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NRL model projects the Bulldogs as the most likely winner of the Knights vs. Bulldogs game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Bulldogs vs. Knights prediction: Who will win Round 4 game?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NRL game between the Knights and Bulldogs, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Bulldogs an 83% chance of defeating the Knights.
According to our model, the Bulldogs (-13.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 46.5 points has a 52% chance of staying under.
Knights vs. Bulldogs odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Knights | Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +300 | -435 |
| Line (Spread) | +13.5 (-110) | -13.5 (-115) |
| Total | o46.5 (-108) | u46.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Knights vs. Bulldogs picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bulldogs -13.5 | bet_rivers_in-115 |
| Moneyline | Bulldogs | bet_rivers_in-435 |
| Total | Under 46.5 | -120 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bulldogs -13.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bulldogs vs. Knights game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rugby league game between the Bulldogs and Knights at Stadium Australia is scheduled to begin at 12:00 AM ET.
- Who: Newcastle Knights vs. Canterbury Bulldogs
- Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
- Venue: Stadium Australia
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Bulldogs, with an 83% win probability, will likely beat the Knights on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Knights vs. Bulldogs insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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