Gold Coast Titans vs. Newcastle Knights prediction: Why Knights are favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 11 matchup [5/17/2026]

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Written by Damien Souness

Get Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights predictions for NRL Sunday.

Gold Coast Titans-Newcastle Knights Predictions and Game Preview.
Gold Coast Titans vs. Newcastle Knights NRL prediction for Sunday, May 17, 2026.

The Gold Coast Titans and Newcastle Knights are scheduled to meet in the National Rugby League (NRL) at Suncorp Stadium on Sunday, starting at 12:00 AM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NRL model projects the Knights as the most likely winner of the Knights vs. Titans game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Titans vs. Knights prediction: Who will win Round 11 game?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NRL matchup between the Knights and Titans, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Knights a 67% chance of beating the Titans.

According to our model, the Titans (+9.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has a 62% chance of staying under.

 

Knights vs. Titans odds

We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Knights Titans
H2H (Moneyline) -278 +210
Line (Spread) -9.5 (-115) +9.5 (-110)
Total o55.5 (-120) u55.5 (-106)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Knights vs. Titans picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Spread Titans +9.5 bet_rivers_in-110
Moneyline Titans bet_rivers_in+210
Total Under 55.5 -106

According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 55.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Titans vs. Knights game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's Australian rugby league game between the Titans and Knights at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:00 AM ET.

  • Who: Newcastle Knights vs. Gold Coast Titans
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
  • Venue: Suncorp Stadium

The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.

Conclusion

We predict the Knights, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Titans in Sunday's NRL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Experience Officer

Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media brands.

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