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Read Article Gold Coast Titans vs. Newcastle Knights prediction: Why Knights are favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 11 matchup [5/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Gold Coast Titans vs Newcastle Knights predictions for NRL Sunday.
NRL action continues on Sunday at 12:00 AM ET as the Newcastle Knights square off with the Gold Coast Titans at Suncorp Stadium.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NRL model predicts the Knights as the most likely winner of the Knights vs. Titans game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Titans vs. Knights prediction: Who will win Round 11 game?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NRL matchup between the Knights and Titans, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Knights a 67% chance of beating the Titans.
According to our model, the Titans (+9.5) have a 58% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 55.5 points has a 62% chance of staying under.
Knights vs. Titans odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Knights | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -278 | +205 |
| Line (Spread) | -9.5 (-110) | +9.5 (-115) |
| Total | o55.5 (-120) | u55.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Knights vs. Titans picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Titans +9.5 | bet_rivers_in-115 |
| Moneyline | Titans | bet_rivers_in+205 |
| Total | Under 55.5 | -108 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 55.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Titans vs. Knights game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rugby league matchup between the Titans and Knights at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to commence at 12:00 AM ET.
- Who: Newcastle Knights vs. Gold Coast Titans
- Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
- Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
- Venue: Suncorp Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Knights, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Titans in Sunday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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