Jul 18, 2026
Dolphins vs. North QLD Cowboys prediction: Dolphins favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 20 matchup [7/19/2026]
Read Article Melbourne Storm vs. Newcastle Knights prediction: Storm favored to win Friday's NRL Round 14 matchup [6/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Add Dimers on Google 
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Melbourne Storm vs Newcastle Knights predictions for NRL Friday.
NRL action continues on Friday at 4:00 AM ET as the Newcastle Knights square off with the Melbourne Storm at AAMI Park.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NRL model projects the Storm as the most likely winner of the Knights vs. Storm game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Storm vs. Knights prediction: Who will win Round 14 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's NRL matchup between the Knights and Storm, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Storm a 68% chance of defeating the Knights.
According to our model, the Storm (-3.5) have a 60% chance of covering the spread, while the 49.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Knights vs. Storm odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Knights | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +130 | -164 |
| Line (Spread) | +3.5 (-105) | -3.5 (-120) |
| Total | o49.5 (-115) | u49.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Knights vs. Storm picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm -3.5 | -120 |
| Moneyline | Storm | bet_rivers_in-164 |
| Total | Under 49.5 | -115 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Storm vs. Knights game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rugby league game between the Storm and Knights at AAMI Park is scheduled to start at 4:00 AM ET.
- Who: Newcastle Knights vs. Melbourne Storm
- Date: Friday, June 5, 2026
- Time: 4:00 AM ET/1:00AM PT
- Venue: AAMI Park
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Storm, with a 68% win probability, will likely beat the Knights in Friday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
Advertiser disclosure
