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Newcastle vs. Aston Villa prediction, odds, Premier League picks [1/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Newcastle vs Aston Villa predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Newcastle and Aston Villa are scheduled to meet in the Premier League on Sunday, with kickoff at 9:00 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Newcastle as the most likely winner of the Newcastle vs. Aston Villa game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Newcastle vs. Aston Villa prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Aston Villa 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 43.2% chance of Newcastle winning, a 31.9% chance for Aston Villa, and a 24.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.
Newcastle vs. Aston Villa odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Newcastle | Aston Villa | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +115 | +230 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -150 | +120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Newcastle vs. Aston Villa picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Aston Villa | +230 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +120 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Aston Villa to win.
Newcastle vs. Aston Villa: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NEW 1-1 AVL | 11.7% |
| NEW 1-0 AVL | 9.1% |
| NEW 2-1 AVL | 9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.9% chance of the yes hitting, and a 43.1% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Newcastle vs. Aston Villa game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League game between Newcastle and Aston Villa is scheduled to commence in the USA at 9:00 AM ET.
- Who: Newcastle vs. Aston Villa
- Date: Sunday, January 25, 2026
- Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 43.2% win probability on Sunday, Aston Villa has a 31.9% win probability, and there is a 24.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Newcastle vs. Aston Villa insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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