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Newcastle vs. Bournemouth prediction, odds, Premier League picks [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Newcastle vs Bournemouth predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Newcastle will face Bournemouth in Premier League action on Saturday, commencing at 10:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model projects Newcastle as the most likely winner of the Newcastle vs. Bournemouth game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Newcastle vs. Bournemouth prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Bournemouth, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 47.7% chance of Newcastle winning, a 29.9% chance for Bournemouth, and a 22.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 65% chance of going over, according to our model.
Newcastle vs. Bournemouth odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Newcastle | Bournemouth | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +100 | +250 | +290 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -200 | +162 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Newcastle vs. Bournemouth picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bournemouth | +250 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -200 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bournemouth to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Newcastle vs. Bournemouth: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NEW 1-1 BOU | 9.8% |
| NEW 2-1 BOU | 9.2% |
| NEW 1-2 BOU | 7.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 64.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 35.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Newcastle vs. Bournemouth game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League game between Newcastle and Bournemouth is scheduled to commence in the United States at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Newcastle vs. Bournemouth
- Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
World Cup 2026 watch: Tyler Adams (USA)
Bournemouth defensive midfielder Tyler Adams is on the radar for USMNT supporters this year as anticipation ramps up ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early talk about who will win the World Cup. With the United States drawn against Australia, Paraguay, and one of four potential European qualifiers in Group D next year, Adams' form will be monitored closely.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 47.7% win probability on Saturday, Bournemouth has a 29.9% win probability, and there is a 22.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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