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Newcastle vs. Burnley prediction, odds, Premier League picks [12/6/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Newcastle vs Burnley predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Newcastle will take on Burnley in Premier League action on Saturday, beginning at 10:00AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Newcastle as the most likely winner of the Newcastle vs. Burnley game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Newcastle vs. Burnley prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Burnley 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 72.2% chance of Newcastle winning, a 10.8% chance for Burnley, and a 17.0% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 61% chance of going over, according to our model.
Newcastle vs. Burnley odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Newcastle | Burnley | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -350 | +1000 | +500 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -168 | +136 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Newcastle vs. Burnley picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Burnley | +1000 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -168 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Burnley to win.
Newcastle vs. Burnley: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Newcastle win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NEW 2-0 BUR | 12% |
| NEW 1-0 BUR | 10.2% |
| NEW 3-0 BUR | 9.4% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.3% chance of the yes hitting, and a 50.7% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Newcastle vs. Burnley game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League action between Newcastle and Burnley is scheduled to begin in the United States at 10:00AM ET.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 72.2% win probability on Saturday, Burnley has a 10.8% win probability, and there is a 17.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Newcastle vs. Burnley insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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