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Newcastle vs. Sunderland prediction, odds, Premier League picks [3/22/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Newcastle vs Sunderland predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Newcastle will take on Sunderland in Premier League action on Sunday, starting at 8:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Newcastle as the most likely winner of the Newcastle vs. Sunderland game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Newcastle vs. Sunderland prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Sunderland 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 59.3% chance of Newcastle winning, an 18.3% chance for Sunderland, and a 22.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Newcastle vs. Sunderland odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Newcastle | Sunderland | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -175 | +500 | +320 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -142 | +120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Newcastle vs. Sunderland picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sunderland | +500 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +120 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Newcastle vs. Sunderland: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Newcastle win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NEW 1-0 Sunderland | 11.6% |
| NEW 1-1 Sunderland | 10.7% |
| NEW 2-0 Sunderland | 10.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 50.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 49.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Newcastle vs. Sunderland game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League action between Newcastle and Sunderland is scheduled to start in the USA at 8:00 AM ET.
- Who: Newcastle vs. Sunderland
- Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
- Time: 8:00 AM ET/5:00AM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 59.3% win probability on Sunday, Sunderland has an 18.3% win probability, and there is a 22.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Newcastle vs. Sunderland insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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