NHL player props today: Good Friday best props include Leo Carlsson [4/3/2026]

Leo Carlsson under 2.5 shots on goal (-118)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 59.2%
• Game: Blues vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Anaheim's Leo Carlsson going under 2.5 shots on goal. A probability of 59.2% gives this play an edge of 5.0% at -118 odds.

Matvei Michkov to score a point (+135)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 47.0%
• Game: Flyers vs. Islanders (7:00PM ET)

Matvei Michkov’s a point prop shows a 47.0% probability and an 4.5% edge at +135 odds, according to our model.

Ryan Poehling to score a point (+165)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 43.4%
• Game: Blues vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Ryan Poehling to score a point, with simulations showing a 43.4% probability and a 5.6% edge at +165.

Mason McTavish to score a point (+175)

• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 38.5%
• Game: Blues vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Mason McTavish to score a point, with a 38.5% probability and an edge of 2.2% at +175 odds.

Bo Horvat anytime goal scorer (+200)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 36.3%
• Game: Flyers vs. Islanders (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Bo Horvat as an anytime goal scorer for NY Islanders, showing an edge of 3.0% at +200 odds.

Cam Fowler to record an assist (+250)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 34.7%
• Game: Blues vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)

Cam Fowler’s assist prop shows an edge of 6.1% at +250 odds, supported by a 34.7% probability according to our model.

Dylan Holloway anytime goal scorer (+230)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 34.6%
• Game: Blues vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Dylan Holloway anytime goal scorer for St. Louis, with a 34.6% probability and a 4.3% edge at +230 odds.

Calum Ritchie to record an assist (+230)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 33.6%
• Game: Flyers vs. Islanders (7:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Calum Ritchie to record an assist, supported by a 33.6% probability at +230 odds and an edge of 3.3%.

Anders Lee anytime goal scorer (+370)

• Edge: 12.1%
• Probability: 33.4%
• Game: Flyers vs. Islanders (7:00PM ET)

A 12.1% edge on the anytime goal line makes Anders Lee a value play in Flyers vs. Islanders, supported by a 33.4% probability at +370 odds.

Matvei Michkov over 0.5 an assist (+250)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 31.9%
• Game: Flyers vs. Islanders (7:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Matvei Michkov over 0.5 an assist here, with a 31.9% probability and 3.3% edge at +250 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Friday, April 3, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 4:52PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Blues vs. Ducks	Leo Carlsson under 2.5 shots on goal	-118 @ BetMGM	5.0%	59.2%
Flyers vs. Islanders	Matvei Michkov to score a point	+135 @ DraftKings	4.5%	47.0%
Blues vs. Ducks	Ryan Poehling to score a point	+165 @ DraftKings	2.2%	38.5%
Blues vs. Ducks	Mason McTavish to score a point	+175 @ DraftKings	2.2%	38.5%
Flyers vs. Islanders	Bo Horvat anytime goal scorer	+200 @ FanDuel	3.0%	36.3%
Blues vs. Ducks	Cam Fowler to record an assist	+250 @ DraftKings	6.1%	34.7%
Blues vs. Ducks	Dylan Holloway anytime goal scorer	+230 @ DraftKings	4.3%	34.6%
Flyers vs. Islanders	Calum Ritchie to record an assist	+230 @ DraftKings	3.3%	33.6%
Flyers vs. Islanders	Anders Lee first goal scorer	+370 @ FanDuel	12.1%	33.4%
Flyers vs. Islanders	Matvei Michkov over 0.5 an assist	+250 @ DraftKings	3.3%	31.9%

Conclusion

For April 3, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Leo Carlsson, Matvei Michkov and Ryan Poehling. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.