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NHL Playoffs player props today: Friday's best props include David Pastrnak [5/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get NHL player props today with projections for Friday's games.
Dimers' NHL props are live for May 01, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of David Pastrnak, Shea Theodore and Tage Thompson.
Our NHL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every Playoffs matchup, including Sabres vs. Bruins and Lightning vs. Canadiens, to surface the best NHL player prop bets across the market.
List of NHL prop bets for Friday's playoffs, 5/1
Sourced from 45+ total props today, below are the top ten NHL player props for May 1, ranked by probability.
David Pastrnak to score a point (-238)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 73.0%
- Game: Sabres vs. Bruins (7:30PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Boston's David Pastrnak going over 0.5 a point. A probability of 73.0% gives this play an edge of 2.6% at -238 odds.
Shea Theodore under 2.5 shots on goal (-160)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 65.6%
- Game: Golden Knights vs. Mammoth (10:00PM ET)
Shea Theodore’s shots on goal prop shows a 65.6% probability and an 4.1% edge at -160 odds, according to our model.
Tage Thompson under 4.5 shots on goal (-160)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 65.0%
- Game: Sabres vs. Bruins (7:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Tage Thompson under 4.5 shots on goal, with simulations showing a 65.0% probability and a 3.5% edge at -160.
Darren Raddysh under 3.5 shots on goal (-154)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 64.2%
- Game: Lightning vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Darren Raddysh under 3.5 shots on goal, with a 64.2% probability and an edge of 3.5% at -154 odds.
Michael Eyssimont over 1.5 shots on goal (-120)
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 59.4%
- Game: Sabres vs. Bruins (7:30PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Michael Eyssimont over 1.5 shots on goal for Boston, showing an edge of 4.9% at -120 odds.
Juraj Slafkovsky under 2.5 shots on goal (+100)
- Edge: 7.5%
- Probability: 57.5%
- Game: Lightning vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)
Juraj Slafkovsky’s shots on goal prop shows an edge of 7.5% at +100 odds, supported by a 57.5% probability according to our model.
Dylan Guenther under 3.5 shots on goal (+105)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Game: Golden Knights vs. Mammoth (10:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Dylan Guenther under 3.5 shots on goal for Utah, with a 54.8% probability and a 6.0% edge at +105 odds.
Barrett Hayton under 1.5 shots on goal (+105)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 54.6%
- Game: Golden Knights vs. Mammoth (10:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Barrett Hayton under 1.5 shots on goal, supported by a 54.6% probability at +105 odds and an edge of 5.8%.
David Pastrnak over 3.5 shots on goal (+100)
- Edge: 4.0%
- Probability: 54.0%
- Game: Sabres vs. Bruins (7:30PM ET)
A 4.0% edge on the over 1.5 shots on goal line makes David Pastrnak a value play in Sabres vs. Bruins, supported by a 54.0% probability at +100 odds.
Josh Norris over 1.5 shots on goal (+110)
- Edge: 4.9%
- Probability: 52.5%
- Game: Sabres vs. Bruins (7:30PM ET)
Simulations show value on Josh Norris over 1.5 shots on goal here, with a 52.5% probability and 4.9% edge at +110 odds.
NHL player prop summary: Friday, May 1, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:43AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabres vs. Bruins | David Pastrnak to score a point | -238 @ DraftKings | 2.6% | 73.0% |
| Golden Knights vs. Mammoth | Shea Theodore under 2.5 shots on goal | -160 @ DraftKings | 4.1% | 65.6% |
| Sabres vs. Bruins | Tage Thompson under 4.5 shots on goal | -160 @ BetMGM | 3.5% | 64.2% |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens | Darren Raddysh under 3.5 shots on goal | -154 @ DraftKings | 3.5% | 64.2% |
| Sabres vs. Bruins | Michael Eyssimont over 1.5 shots on goal | -120 @ DraftKings | 4.9% | 59.4% |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens | Juraj Slafkovsky under 2.5 shots on goal | +100 @ BetMGM | 7.5% | 57.5% |
| Golden Knights vs. Mammoth | Dylan Guenther under 3.5 shots on goal | +105 @ DraftKings | 6.0% | 54.8% |
| Golden Knights vs. Mammoth | Barrett Hayton under 1.5 shots on goal | +105 @ DraftKings | 5.8% | 54.6% |
| Sabres vs. Bruins | David Pastrnak over 1.5 shots on goal | +100 @ BetMGM | 4.0% | 54.0% |
| Sabres vs. Bruins | Josh Norris over 1.5 shots on goal | +110 @ DraftKings | 4.9% | 52.5% |
Conclusion
For May 1, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as David Pastrnak, Shea Theodore and Tage Thompson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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