NHL Playoffs player props today: Monday's best props include Brock Nelson [5/11/2026]

Brock Nelson over 1.5 shots on goal (-166)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 66.5%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Colorado's Brock Nelson going over 1.5 shots on goal. A probability of 66.5% gives this play an edge of 4.1% at -166 odds.

Valeri Nichushkin over 1.5 shots on goal (-135)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 64.1%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Valeri Nichushkin’s shots on goal prop shows a 64.1% probability and an 6.7% edge at -135 odds, according to our model.

Devon Toews over 1.5 shots on goal (+115)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 52.3%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Devon Toews over 1.5 shots on goal, with simulations showing a 52.3% probability and a 5.8% edge at +115.

Nazem Kadri over 2.5 shots on goal (+125)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 48.9%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Nazem Kadri over 2.5 shots on goal, with a 48.9% probability and an edge of 4.4% at +125 odds.

Gabriel Landeskog over 2.5 shots on goal (+140)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 45.4%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Gabriel Landeskog over 2.5 shots on goal for Colorado, showing an edge of 3.8% at +140 odds.

Marcus Johansson over 1.5 shots on goal (+145)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 45.4%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Marcus Johansson’s shots on goal prop shows an edge of 4.6% at +145 odds, supported by a 45.4% probability according to our model.

Valeri Nichushkin to score a point (+154)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 42.4%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Valeri Nichushkin to score a point for Colorado, with a 42.4% probability and a 3.0% edge at +154 odds.

Danila Yurov to score a point (+210)

• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 33.6%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Danila Yurov to score a point, supported by a 33.6% probability at +210 odds and an edge of 1.3%.

Gabriel Landeskog anytime goal scorer (+290)

• Edge: 1.5%
• Probability: 27.1%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

A 1.5% edge on the anytime goal line makes Gabriel Landeskog a value play in Avalanche vs. Wild, supported by a 27.1% probability at +290 odds.

Valeri Nichushkin anytime goal scorer (+410)

• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 24.3%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (8:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Valeri Nichushkin anytime goal scorer here, with a 24.3% probability and 4.7% edge at +410 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Monday, May 11, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:42AM ET:

Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Brock Nelson over 1.5 shots on goal	-166 @ DraftKings	4.1%	66.5%
Valeri Nichushkin over 1.5 shots on goal	-135 @ DraftKings	6.7%	64.1%
Devon Toews over 1.5 shots on goal	+115 @ BetMGM	4.4%	48.9%
Nazem Kadri over 2.5 shots on goal	+125 @ BetMGM	4.4%	48.9%
Gabriel Landeskog over 2.5 shots on goal	+140 @ DraftKings	3.8%	45.4%
Marcus Johansson over 1.5 shots on goal	+145 @ BetMGM	4.6%	45.4%
Valeri Nichushkin to score a point	+154 @ DraftKings	3.0%	42.4%
Danila Yurov to score a point	+210 @ DraftKings	1.3%	33.6%
Gabriel Landeskog first goal scorer	+290 @ FanDuel	1.5%	27.1%
Valeri Nichushkin anytime goal scorer	+410 @ FanDuel	4.7%	24.3%

Conclusion

For May 11, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Brock Nelson, Valeri Nichushkin and Devon Toews. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.