NHL Playoffs player props today: Saturday's best props include Brock Nelson [5/9/2026]

Brock Nelson over 1.5 shots on goal (-160)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 66.4%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (9:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Colorado's Brock Nelson going over 1.5 shots on goal. A probability of 66.4% gives this play an edge of 4.9% at -160 odds.

Valeri Nichushkin over 1.5 shots on goal (-140)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (9:00PM ET)

Valeri Nichushkin’s shots on goal prop shows a 63.9% probability and an 5.6% edge at -140 odds, according to our model.

Nikolaj Ehlers to score a point (-125)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Game: Hurricanes vs. Flyers (6:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Nikolaj Ehlers to score a point, with simulations showing a 58.8% probability and a 3.2% edge at -125.

Matvei Michkov under 1.5 shots on goal (-115)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Game: Hurricanes vs. Flyers (6:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Matvei Michkov under 1.5 shots on goal, with a 56.5% probability and an edge of 3.0% at -115 odds.

Devon Toews over 1.5 shots on goal (+115)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 52.0%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (9:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Devon Toews over 1.5 shots on goal for Colorado, showing an edge of 5.5% at +115 odds.

Nazem Kadri over 2.5 shots on goal (+140)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 47.0%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (9:00PM ET)

Nazem Kadri’s shots on goal prop shows an edge of 5.4% at +140 odds, supported by a 47.0% probability according to our model.

Gabriel Landeskog over 2.5 shots on goal (+150)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 43.4%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (9:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Gabriel Landeskog over 2.5 shots on goal for Colorado, with a 43.4% probability and a 3.4% edge at +150 odds.

Nikolaj Ehlers to record an assist (+165)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 42.9%
• Game: Hurricanes vs. Flyers (6:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Nikolaj Ehlers to record an assist, supported by a 42.9% probability at +165 odds and an edge of 5.2%.

Valeri Nichushkin to score a point (+154)

• Edge: 1.6%
• Probability: 41.0%
• Game: Avalanche vs. Wild (9:00PM ET)

A 1.6% edge on the point line makes Valeri Nichushkin a value play in Avalanche vs. Wild, supported by a 41.0% probability at +154 odds.

Jamie Drysdale to score a point (+165)

• Edge: 1.9%
• Probability: 39.7%
• Game: Hurricanes vs. Flyers (6:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Jamie Drysdale to score a point here, with a 39.7% probability and 1.9% edge at +165 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Saturday, May 9, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:48PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Avalanche vs. Wild	Brock Nelson over 1.5 shots on goal	-160 @ BetMGM	4.9%	66.4%
Avalanche vs. Wild	Valeri Nichushkin over 1.5 shots on goal	-140 @ DraftKings	5.6%	63.9%
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Nikolaj Ehlers to score a point	-125 @ DraftKings	3.0%	56.5%
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Matvei Michkov under 1.5 shots on goal	-115 @ BetMGM	3.0%	56.5%
Avalanche vs. Wild	Devon Toews over 1.5 shots on goal	+115 @ BetMGM	5.5%	52.0%
Avalanche vs. Wild	Nazem Kadri over 2.5 shots on goal	+140 @ DraftKings	5.4%	47.0%
Avalanche vs. Wild	Gabriel Landeskog over 2.5 shots on goal	+150 @ DraftKings	3.4%	43.4%
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Nikolaj Ehlers to record an assist	+165 @ DraftKings	5.2%	42.9%
Avalanche vs. Wild	Valeri Nichushkin to score a point	+154 @ DraftKings	1.6%	41.0%
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Jamie Drysdale to score a point	+165 @ DraftKings	1.9%	39.7%

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Conclusion

For May 9, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Brock Nelson, Valeri Nichushkin and Nikolaj Ehlers. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.