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NHL player props today: Thursday's best props include Will Smith [4/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NHL player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' NHL props are live for April 16, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Will Smith, Tyler Toffoli and Matty Beniers.
Our NHL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Kraken vs. Avalanche and Sharks vs. Jets, to surface the best NHL player prop bets across the market.
List of NHL prop picks for Thursday, 4/16
Below are the top ten NHL player props for April 16, ranked by probability.
Will Smith anytime goal scorer (+550)
- Edge: 10.1%
- Probability: 25.5%
- Game: Sharks vs. Jets (8:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on San Jose's Will Smith scoring a goal. A probability of 25.5% gives this play an edge of 10.1% at +550 odds.
Tyler Toffoli anytime goal scorer (+850)
- Edge: 13.3%
- Probability: 23.9%
- Game: Sharks vs. Jets (8:00PM ET)
Tyler Toffoli’s anytime goal scorer prop shows a 23.9% probability and an 13.3% edge at +850 odds, according to our model.
Matty Beniers anytime goal scorer (+850)
- Edge: 11.0%
- Probability: 21.5%
- Game: Kraken vs. Avalanche (10:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Matty Beniers anytime goal scorer, with simulations showing a 21.5% probability and an 11.0% edge at +850.
Jordan Eberle anytime goal scorer (+850)
- Edge: 10.7%
- Probability: 21.2%
- Game: Kraken vs. Avalanche (10:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Jordan Eberle to score a goal, with a 21.2% probability and an edge of 10.7% at +850 odds.
Kaapo Kakko anytime goal scorer (+1300)
- Edge: 13.8%
- Probability: 21.0%
- Game: Kraken vs. Avalanche (10:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Kaapo Kakko as an anytime goal scorer for Seattle, showing an edge of 13.8% at +1300 odds.
Kiefer Sherwood anytime goal scorer (+800)
- Edge: 9.8%
- Probability: 20.9%
- Game: Sharks vs. Jets (8:00PM ET)
Kiefer Sherwood’s anytime goal scorer prop shows an edge of 9.8% at +800 odds, supported by a 20.9% probability according to our model.
William Eklund anytime goal scorer (+800)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 17.0%
- Game: Sharks vs. Jets (8:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on William Eklund anytime goal scorer for San Jose, with a 17.0% probability and a 5.8% edge at +800 odds.
Eeli Tolvanen anytime goal scorer (+1200)
- Edge: 8.8%
- Probability: 16.5%
- Game: Kraken vs. Avalanche (10:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Eeli Tolvanen anytime goal scorer, supported by a 16.5% probability at +1200 odds and an edge of 8.8%.
Adam Gaudette anytime goal scorer (+1600)
- Edge: 10.1%
- Probability: 16.0%
- Game: Sharks vs. Jets (8:00PM ET)
A 10.1% edge on the anytime goal line makes Adam Gaudette a value play in Sharks vs. Jets, supported by a 16.0% probability at +1600 odds.
Frederick Gaudreau anytime goal scorer (+1800)
- Edge: 10.7%
- Probability: 15.9%
- Game: Kraken vs. Avalanche (10:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Frederick Gaudreau anytime goal scorer here, with a 15.9% probability and 10.7% edge at +1800 odds.
NHL player prop summary: Thursday, April 16, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:31AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharks vs. Jets | Will Smith anytime goal scorer | +550 @ FanDuel | 10.1% | 25.5% |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Tyler Toffoli anytime goal scorer | +850 @ FanDuel | 13.3% | 23.9% |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Matty Beniers anytime goal scorer | +850 @ FanDuel | 10.7% | 21.2% |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Jordan Eberle anytime goal scorer | +850 @ FanDuel | 10.7% | 21.2% |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Kaapo Kakko anytime goal scorer | +1300 @ FanDuel | 13.8% | 21.0% |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Kiefer Sherwood anytime goal scorer | +800 @ FanDuel | 9.8% | 20.9% |
| Sharks vs. Jets | William Eklund anytime goal scorer | +800 @ FanDuel | 5.8% | 17.0% |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Eeli Tolvanen anytime goal scorer | +1200 @ FanDuel | 8.8% | 16.5% |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Adam Gaudette first goal scorer | +1600 @ FanDuel | 10.1% | 16.0% |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Frederick Gaudreau anytime goal scorer | +1800 @ FanDuel | 10.7% | 15.9% |
Conclusion
For April 16, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Will Smith, Tyler Toffoli and Matty Beniers. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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