NHL Playoffs player props today: Tuesday's best props include Owen Power [5/12/2026]

Owen Power over 0.5 shots on goal (-225)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 75.3%
• Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Buffalo's Owen Power going over 0.5 shots on goal. A probability of 75.3% gives this play an edge of 6.1% at -225 odds.

Leo Carlsson under 3.5 shots on goal (-145)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 69.1%
• Game: Ducks vs. Golden Knights (9:30PM ET)

Leo Carlsson’s shots on goal prop shows a 69.1% probability and an 9.9% edge at -145 odds, according to our model.

Tomas Hertl over 1.5 shots on goal (-154)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 68.5%
• Game: Ducks vs. Golden Knights (9:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Tomas Hertl over 1.5 shots on goal, with simulations showing a 68.5% probability and a 7.9% edge at -154.

Noah Dobson over 1.5 shots on goal (-154)

• Edge: 6.4%
• Probability: 67.1%
• Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Noah Dobson over 1.5 shots on goal, with a 67.1% probability and an edge of 6.4% at -154 odds.

Cutter Gauthier under 3.5 shots on goal (-125)

• Edge: 8.3%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Game: Ducks vs. Golden Knights (9:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Cutter Gauthier under 3.5 shots on goal for Anaheim, showing an edge of 8.3% at -125 odds.

Josh Norris over 1.5 shots on goal (+110)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 55.7%
• Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

Josh Norris’s shots on goal prop shows an edge of 8.1% at +110 odds, supported by a 55.7% probability according to our model.

Chris Kreider over 1.5 shots on goal (+105)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 54.3%
• Game: Ducks vs. Golden Knights (9:30PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Chris Kreider over 1.5 shots on goal for Anaheim, with a 54.3% probability and a 5.6% edge at +105 odds.

Jason Zucker over 1.5 shots on goal (+120)

• Edge: 7.8%
• Probability: 53.3%
• Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

The data shows value on Jason Zucker over 1.5 shots on goal, supported by a 53.3% probability at +120 odds and an edge of 7.8%.

Mike Matheson over 1.5 shots on goal (+130)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 49.2%
• Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

A 5.7% edge on the over 1.5 shots on goal line makes Mike Matheson a value play in Sabres vs. Canadiens, supported by a 49.2% probability at +130 odds.

Alexandre Texier over 1.5 shots on goal (+140)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 46.7%
• Game: Sabres vs. Canadiens (7:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Alexandre Texier over 1.5 shots on goal here, with a 46.7% probability and 5.0% edge at +140 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Tuesday, May 12, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:54AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Sabres vs. Canadiens	Owen Power over 0.5 shots on goal	-225 @ BetMGM	6.1%	75.3%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Leo Carlsson under 3.5 shots on goal	-145 @ DraftKings	9.9%	69.1%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Tomas Hertl over 1.5 shots on goal	-154 @ DraftKings	6.4%	67.1%
Sabres vs. Canadiens	Noah Dobson over 1.5 shots on goal	-154 @ DraftKings	6.4%	67.1%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Cutter Gauthier under 3.5 shots on goal	-125 @ DraftKings	8.3%	63.9%
Sabres vs. Canadiens	Josh Norris over 1.5 shots on goal	+110 @ DraftKings	8.1%	55.7%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Chris Kreider over 1.5 shots on goal	+105 @ BetMGM	5.6%	54.3%
Sabres vs. Canadiens	Jason Zucker over 1.5 shots on goal	+120 @ BetMGM	7.8%	53.3%
Sabres vs. Canadiens	Mike Matheson over 1.5 shots on goal	+130 @ DraftKings	5.7%	49.2%
Sabres vs. Canadiens	Alexandre Texier over 1.5 shots on goal	+140 @ DraftKings	5.0%	46.7%

Conclusion

For May 12, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Owen Power, Leo Carlsson and Tomas Hertl. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.