NHL Playoffs player props today: Wednesday's best props include Leo Carlsson [5/6/2026]

Leo Carlsson under 3.5 shots on goal (-180)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 73.2%
• Game: Ducks vs. Golden Knights (9:30PM ET)

Our model has found value on Anaheim's Leo Carlsson going under 3.5 shots on goal. A probability of 73.2% gives this play an edge of 8.9% at -180 odds.

Ivan Demidov over 1.5 shots on goal (-160)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 65.9%
• Game: Canadiens vs. Sabres (7:00PM ET)

Ivan Demidov’s shots on goal prop shows a 65.9% probability and an 4.4% edge at -160 odds, according to our model.

Cutter Gauthier under 3.5 shots on goal (+100)

• Edge: 8.8%
• Probability: 58.8%
• Game: Ducks vs. Golden Knights (9:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Cutter Gauthier under 3.5 shots on goal, with simulations showing a 58.8% probability and an 8.8% edge at +100.

Mike Matheson over 1.5 shots on goal (+114)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 51.2%
• Game: Canadiens vs. Sabres (7:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Mike Matheson over 1.5 shots on goal, with a 51.2% probability and an edge of 4.4% at +114 odds.

Jason Zucker to score a point (+110)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 50.6%
• Game: Canadiens vs. Sabres (7:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jason Zucker to score a point for Buffalo, showing an edge of 3.0% at +110 odds.

Ryan McLeod to score a point (+160)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 45.9%
• Game: Canadiens vs. Sabres (7:00PM ET)

Ryan McLeod’s point prop shows an edge of 7.5% at +160 odds, supported by a 45.9% probability according to our model.

Zach Benson to score a point (+145)

• Edge: 1.4%
• Probability: 42.2%
• Game: Canadiens vs. Sabres (7:00PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Zach Benson to score a point for Buffalo, with a 42.2% probability and a 1.4% edge at +145 odds.

Tomas Hertl to score a point (+160)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 42.0%
• Game: Ducks vs. Golden Knights (9:30PM ET)

The data shows value on Tomas Hertl to score a point, supported by a 42.0% probability at +160 odds and an edge of 3.5%.

Owen Power to score a point (+190)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 37.5%
• Game: Canadiens vs. Sabres (7:00PM ET)

A 3.0% edge on the point line makes Owen Power a value play in Canadiens vs. Sabres, supported by a 37.5% probability at +190 odds.

Cole Caufield anytime goal scorer (+175)

• Edge: 1.1%
• Probability: 37.5%
• Game: Canadiens vs. Sabres (7:00PM ET)

Simulations show value on Cole Caufield anytime goal scorer here, with a 37.5% probability and 1.1% edge at +175 odds.

NHL player prop summary: Wednesday, May 6, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:34AM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Leo Carlsson under 3.5 shots on goal	-180 @ DraftKings	8.9%	73.2%
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Ivan Demidov over 1.5 shots on goal	-160 @ DraftKings	4.4%	65.9%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Cutter Gauthier under 3.5 shots on goal	+100 @ BetMGM	4.4%	51.2%
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Mike Matheson over 1.5 shots on goal	+114 @ DraftKings	4.4%	51.2%
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Jason Zucker to score a point	+110 @ DraftKings	3.0%	50.6%
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Ryan McLeod to score a point	+160 @ DraftKings	7.5%	45.9%
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Zach Benson to score a point	+145 @ DraftKings	1.4%	42.2%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Tomas Hertl to score a point	+160 @ DraftKings	3.5%	42.0%
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Owen Power to score a point	+190 @ DraftKings	3.0%	37.5%
Canadiens vs. Sabres	Cole Caufield anytime goal scorer	+175 @ DraftKings	1.1%	37.5%

Conclusion

For May 6, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Leo Carlsson, Ivan Demidov and Cutter Gauthier. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.