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UNC vs. South Dakota State prediction: North Carolina favored to win Thanksgiving Day women's college basketball matchup [11/27/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get UNC vs South Dakota State predictions for college basketball Thursday.
South Dakota State will square off with the favored UNC in women's college basketball Thanksgiving Day action at Hard Rock Hotel Riviera Maya on Thanksgiving Day, starting at 11:00AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' new women's basketball model projects North Carolina as the most likely winner of the UNC vs. South Dakota State game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
UNC vs. South Dakota State prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's women's basketball matchup between UNC and South Dakota State 10,000 times as part of our women's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives North Carolina a 73% chance of defeating South Dakota State.
According to our model, the over/under total of 137.5 points has a 60% chance of staying under.
UNC vs. South Dakota State odds
We have sourced the best women's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | UNC | South Dakota State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -8.5 (-110) | +8.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -599 | +490 |
| Total | o137.5 (-110) | u137.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
UNC vs. South Dakota State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | South Dakota State +8.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | South Dakota State | +490 |
| Total | Under 137.5 | -110 |
According to our best women's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is South Dakota State to win.
UNC vs. South Dakota State game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's women's basketball game between South Dakota State and UNC at Hard Rock Hotel Riviera Maya is scheduled to start at 11:00AM ET.
- Who: North Carolina vs. South Dakota State
- Date: Thursday, November 27, 2025 (Thanksgiving Day)
- Time: 11:00AM ET/8:00AM PT
- Venue: Hard Rock Hotel Riviera Maya
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Conclusion
We predict North Carolina, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat South Dakota State on Thanksgiving Day.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate North Carolina vs. South Dakota State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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