May 15, 2026
Parramatta Eels vs. Melbourne Storm prediction: Why Storm are favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 11 matchup [5/16/2026]
Read Article Sydney Roosters vs. North QLD Cowboys prediction: Why Roosters are favored to win Saturday's NRL Round 11 matchup [5/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Sydney Roosters vs North QLD Cowboys predictions for NRL Saturday.
NRL action continues on Saturday at 3:30 AM ET as the North QLD Cowboys take on the Sydney Roosters at Suncorp Stadium.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NRL model projects the Roosters as the most likely winner of the Cowboys vs. Roosters game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Roosters vs. Cowboys prediction: Who will win Round 11 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NRL game between the Cowboys and Roosters, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Roosters an 85% chance of defeating the Cowboys.
According to our model, the Roosters (-12.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 55.5 points has a 58% chance of staying under.
Cowboys vs. Roosters odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Cowboys | Roosters |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +330 | -476 |
| Line (Spread) | +12.5 (-115) | -12.5 (-115) |
| Total | o55.5 (-114) | u55.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Cowboys vs. Roosters picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Roosters -12.5 | bet_rivers_in-115 |
| Moneyline | Roosters | bet_rivers_in-476 |
| Total | Under 55.5 | -112 |
According to our NRL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 55.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Roosters vs. Cowboys game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rugby league action between the Roosters and Cowboys at Suncorp Stadium is scheduled to start at 3:30 AM ET.
- Who: North QLD Cowboys vs. Sydney Roosters
- Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
- Time: 3:30 AM ET/12:30AM PT
- Venue: Suncorp Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Roosters, with an 85% win probability, will likely beat the Cowboys in Saturday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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