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Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa prediction, odds, Premier League picks [4/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Nottingham Forest will square off with Aston Villa in Premier League action at City Ground on Sunday, commencing at 9:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Aston Villa as the most likely winner of the Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 33.6% chance of Nottingham Forest winning, a 40.7% chance for Aston Villa, and a 25.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 51% chance of going over, according to our model.
Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Nottingham Forest | Aston Villa | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +175 | +165 | +240 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +100 | -120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Aston Villa | +165 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +100 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Aston Villa to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NFO 1-1 AVL | 12.1% |
| NFO 0-1 AVL | 9.5% |
| NFO 1-2 AVL | 8.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League matchup between Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa at City Ground is scheduled to start in the United States at 9:00 AM ET.
- Who: Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
- Venue: City Ground
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Nottingham Forest has a 33.6% win probability on Sunday, Aston Villa has a 40.7% win probability, and there is a 25.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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