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Read Article Nuno Borges vs. Rafael Jodar prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Borges vs Jodar predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Nuno Borges and Rafael Jodar will meet in the round of 64 of the ATP Italian Open event on Friday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Rafael Jodar as the most likely winner of the Borges vs. Jodar match.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Borges vs. Jodar prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Borges-Jodar men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Jodar a 78% chance of beating Borges at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Jodar has a 72% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Borges (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 20.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Nuno Borges vs. Rafael Jodar odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Borges | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +350 | -439 |
| First Set | +250 | -333 |
| Game Spread | +4.5 (-112) | -4.5 (-118) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (-122) | u20.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Borges vs. Jodar picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Borges | +350 |
| First Set | Jodar | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Nuno Borges to win.
Although Borges is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Borges vs. Jodar updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Nuno Borges and Rafael Jodar is scheduled to start on Friday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Nuno Borges vs. Rafael Jodar
- Date: Friday, May 8, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Rafael Jodar, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Nuno Borges at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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