Islanders vs. Red Wings prediction: Detroit favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [12/16/2025]

The Detroit Red Wings and NY Islanders will lock horns in the NHL at Little Caesars Arena on Tuesday, with puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Red Wings a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Islanders.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's Islanders vs. Red Wings matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Isles vs. Red Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Islanders and Red Wings 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Red Wings a 54% chance of defeating the Islanders.

According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.

Islanders vs. Red Wings odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Islanders	Red Wings
Puck Line	+1.5 (-225)	-1.5 (+190)
Moneyline	+106	-125
Total	o6 (-110)	u6 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Islanders vs. Red Wings picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Islanders +1.5	-225
Moneyline	Red Wings	-125
Total	Under 6	-110

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6 total goals.

Islanders vs. Red Wings player props

Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Red Wings?

According to our model, Alex DeBrincat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Red Wings.

Our projections give DeBrincat a 37.8% chance of scoring a goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the star is a 7.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Anders Lee	27.6%
Mathew Barzal	26.7%
Max Shabanov	23.3%
Simon Holmstrom	22.4%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	22.0%

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Alex DeBrincat	37.8%
Dylan Larkin	34.7%
Lucas Raymond	30.6%
Emmitt Finnie	23.6%
James van Riemsdyk	18.4%

First goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

Player	First Goal Probability
Mathew Barzal	5.1%
Anders Lee	4.9%
Max Shabanov	4.6%
Jean-Gabriel Pageau	4.2%
Emil Heineman	4.2%

Detroit Red Wings

Player	First Goal Probability
Alex DeBrincat	7.5%
Dylan Larkin	6.8%
Lucas Raymond	5.5%
Emmitt Finnie	4.5%
James van Riemsdyk	3.3%

Isles vs. Red Wings game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's matchup between the Red Wings and Islanders at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: NY Islanders vs. Detroit Red Wings
• Date: Tuesday, December 16, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Little Caesars Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Red Wings, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Red Wings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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