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Islanders vs. Oilers prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [1/15/2026]
Get NY Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers predictions for NHL Thursday.

The Edmonton Oilers and NY Islanders are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Rogers Place on Thursday, with puck drop at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Islanders vs. Oilers game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Isles vs. Oilers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Islanders and Oilers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Oilers a 60% chance of defeating the Islanders.
According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying under.
Islanders vs. Oilers odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Islanders | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-165) | -1.5 (+145) |
| Moneyline | +142 | -170 |
| Total | o6.5 (-112) | u6.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Islanders vs. Oilers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Oilers -1.5 | +145 |
| Moneyline | Islanders | +142 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -102 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
Islanders vs. Oilers player props
Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Oilers?
According to our model, Connor McDavid is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Oilers.
Our projections give McDavid a 44.3% chance of scoring a goal at Rogers Place, while the star is a 9.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Simon Holmstrom | 25.3% |
| Mathew Barzal | 24.6% |
| Anders Lee | 24.5% |
| Anthony Duclair | 21.2% |
| Max Shabanov | 19.5% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 44.3% |
| Leon Draisaitl | 43.3% |
| Zach Hyman | 39.3% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 22.4% |
| Jack Roslovic | 22.2% |
First goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Anders Lee | 4.9% |
| Mathew Barzal | 4.7% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 4.6% |
| Anthony Duclair | 3.7% |
| Calum Ritchie | 3.2% |
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | 9.8% |
| Leon Draisaitl | 8.7% |
| Zach Hyman | 7.7% |
| Jack Roslovic | 4.3% |
| Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 4.3% |
Isles vs. Oilers game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Oilers and Islanders at Rogers Place is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: NY Islanders vs. Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Rogers Place
Conclusion
We predict the Oilers, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Oilers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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