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Islanders vs. Oilers prediction: Why Edmonton is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [1/15/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get NY Islanders vs Edmonton Oilers predictions for NHL Thursday.

NY Islanders-Edmonton Oilers Predictions and Game Preview.
NY Islanders vs. Edmonton Oilers NHL prediction for Thursday, January 15, 2026.

The Edmonton Oilers and NY Islanders are scheduled to meet in the NHL at Rogers Place on Thursday, with puck drop at 9:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Oilers as the most likely winner of the Islanders vs. Oilers game.

This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Isles vs. Oilers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Islanders and Oilers 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Oilers a 60% chance of defeating the Islanders.

According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 53% chance of staying under.

 

Islanders vs. Oilers odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Islanders Oilers
Puck Line +1.5 (-165) -1.5 (+145)
Moneyline +142 -170
Total o6.5 (-112) u6.5 (-102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Islanders vs. Oilers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Puck Line Oilers -1.5 +145
Moneyline Islanders +142
Total Under 6.5 -102

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

 

Islanders vs. Oilers player props

Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Oilers?

According to our model, Connor McDavid is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Oilers.

Our projections give McDavid a 44.3% chance of scoring a goal at Rogers Place, while the star is a 9.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Simon Holmstrom 25.3%
Mathew Barzal 24.6%
Anders Lee 24.5%
Anthony Duclair 21.2%
Max Shabanov 19.5%

Edmonton Oilers

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Connor McDavid 44.3%
Leon Draisaitl 43.3%
Zach Hyman 39.3%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 22.4%
Jack Roslovic 22.2%

First goal scorer predictions

NY Islanders

Player First Goal Probability
Anders Lee 4.9%
Mathew Barzal 4.7%
Simon Holmstrom 4.6%
Anthony Duclair 3.7%
Calum Ritchie 3.2%

Edmonton Oilers

Player First Goal Probability
Connor McDavid 9.8%
Leon Draisaitl 8.7%
Zach Hyman 7.7%
Jack Roslovic 4.3%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 4.3%

Isles vs. Oilers game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's game between the Oilers and Islanders at Rogers Place is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Oilers, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Oilers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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