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Islanders vs. Kings prediction: Los Angeles favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [3/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NY Islanders vs Los Angeles Kings predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Los Angeles Kings will take on the NY Islanders, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at Crypto.com Arena on Thursday, starting at 9:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Kings a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Islanders.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's Islanders vs. Kings matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Isles vs. Kings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Islanders and Kings 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Kings a 53% chance of defeating the Islanders.
According to our model, the Islanders (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Islanders vs. Kings odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Islanders | Kings |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-250) | -1.5 (+205) |
| Moneyline | +100 | -115 |
| Total | o5.5 (-110) | u5.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Islanders vs. Kings picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Kings -1.5 | +205 |
| Moneyline | Kings | -115 |
| Total | Under 5.5 | -106 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Kings to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Islanders vs. Kings player props
Who will score a goal in Islanders vs. Kings?
According to our model, Adrian Kempe is most likely to score an anytime goal in Islanders vs. Kings.
Our projections give Kempe a 38.1% chance of scoring a goal at Crypto.com Arena, while the star is an 8.6% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 34.4% |
| Mathew Barzal | 25.6% |
| Anders Lee | 24.5% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 24.5% |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 19.9% |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 38.1% |
| Artemi Panarin | 38.0% |
| Alex Laferriere | 28.7% |
| Trevor Moore | 22.0% |
| Anze Kopitar | 21.7% |
First goal scorer predictions
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 6.6% |
| Anders Lee | 5.0% |
| Mathew Barzal | 5.0% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 4.9% |
| Ondrej Palat | 4.3% |
Los Angeles Kings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Adrian Kempe | 8.6% |
| Artemi Panarin | 8.5% |
| Alex Laferriere | 6.2% |
| Trevor Moore | 4.5% |
| Anze Kopitar | 4.0% |
Isles vs. Kings game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Kings and Islanders at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: NY Islanders vs. Los Angeles Kings
- Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Kings, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Islanders on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Islanders vs. Kings insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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