Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union prediction, odds, MLS picks [5/13/2026]

Orlando will square off with Philadelphia in MLS action on Wednesday, beginning at 7:30 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLS model predicts Orlando as the most likely winner of the Orlando vs. Philadelphia game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLS matchup between Orlando and Philadelphia, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 42.1% chance of Orlando winning, a 33.7% chance for Philadelphia, and a 24.2% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.

Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Orlando	Philadelphia	Draw
+150	+170	+270

Total Goals

Over 2.5	Under 2.5
-190	+125

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Orlando	+150
Total Goals	Under 2.5	+125

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Orlando to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union: Correct score predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
ORL 1-1 PHI	11.2%
ORL 2-1 PHI	8.9%
ORL 1-0 PHI	7.9%

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between Orlando and Philadelphia is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Orlando City vs. Philadelphia Union
• Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT

World Cup 2026 watch: Alex Freeman (USA)

Orlando right-back Alex Freeman is on the radar for USMNT supporters this year as anticipation grows ahead of the FIFA World Cup 2026, with rising interest in World Cup news and early talk about who will win the World Cup. With the United States placed alongside Australia, Paraguay, and Türkiye in Group D next year, Freeman's club form will be watched closely.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Orlando has a 42.1% win probability on Wednesday, Philadelphia has a 33.7% win probability, and there is a 24.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.