Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Jiri Lehecka prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026

Pablo Carreno Busta will square off with Jiri Lehecka in the first round of the French Open Men's Singles 2026 on Monday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Jiri Lehecka as the most likely winner of the Carreno Busta vs. Lehecka match.

This article offers further insights into Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Carreno Busta vs. Lehecka prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's Carreno Busta-Lehecka men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Lehecka an 80% chance of defeating Carreno Busta in the French Open 2026.

Additionally, Lehecka has a 72% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Carreno Busta (+6.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 35.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Jiri Lehecka odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Carreno Busta	Lehecka
Moneyline	+385	-500
First Set	+220	-278
Game Spread	+6.5 (-124)	-6.5 (-108)
Total Games	o35.5 (-110)	u35.5 (-118)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Carreno Busta vs. Lehecka picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Carreno Busta	+385
First Set	Lehecka	-118

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Pablo Carreno Busta to win.

Although Carreno Busta is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Carreno Busta vs. Lehecka updates and essential details

The French Open 2026 match between Pablo Carreno Busta and Jiri Lehecka is scheduled to begin on Monday at 5:00 AM ET.

• Who: Pablo Carreno Busta vs. Jiri Lehecka
• Date: Monday, May 25, 2026
• Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
• Tournament: French Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Jiri Lehecka, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Pablo Carreno Busta at the French Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.