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Flyers vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [4/27/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins predictions for NHL Monday.
The Pittsburgh Penguins and Philadelphia Flyers will lock horns in the NHL Playoffs at PPG Paints Arena on Monday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Penguins as the most likely winner of the Flyers vs. Penguins game.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Flyers vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Flyers and Penguins, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Penguins a 55% chance of defeating the Flyers.
According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of going over.
Flyers vs. Penguins odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flyers | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-218) | -1.5 (+180) |
| Moneyline | +115 | -134 |
| Total | o5.5 (-122) | u5.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Flyers vs. Penguins picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flyers +1.5 | -218 |
| Moneyline | Flyers | +115 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -122 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Flyers vs. Penguins player props
Who will score a goal in Flyers vs. Penguins?
According to our model, Rickard Rakell is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flyers vs. Penguins.
Our projections give Rakell a 36.6% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 7.7% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Porter Martone | 29.4% |
| Owen Tippett | 26.7% |
| Tyson Foerster | 25.8% |
| Alex Bump | 24.3% |
| Travis Konecny | 23.6% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell | 36.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 32.7% |
| Sidney Crosby | 32.0% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 27.4% |
| Anthony Mantha | 25.6% |
First goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Porter Martone | 5.2% |
| Alex Bump | 4.8% |
| Owen Tippett | 4.6% |
| Tyson Foerster | 4.4% |
| Travis Konecny | 4.2% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell | 7.7% |
| Sidney Crosby | 6.3% |
| Bryan Rust | 6.2% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 4.7% |
| Anthony Mantha | 4.6% |
Flyers vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Penguins and Flyers in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Monday, April 27, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is the NHL's annual elimination tournament to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.
A total of 16 teams, including the Flyers and Penguins, reached the NHL Playoffs 2026, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round of the NHL Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins progressing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Conclusion
We predict the Penguins, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers in Monday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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