Flyers vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [1/15/2026]

The Pittsburgh Penguins will face the Philadelphia Flyers in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Thursday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Penguins as the most likely winner of the Flyers vs. Penguins game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Flyers vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Flyers and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Penguins a 59% chance of defeating the Flyers.

According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 53% chance of going over.

Flyers vs. Penguins odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Flyers	Penguins
Puck Line	+1.5 (-165)	-1.5 (+145)
Moneyline	+145	-166
Total	o6 (-120)	u6 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Flyers vs. Penguins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Flyers +1.5	-165
Moneyline	Flyers	+145
Total	Over 6	-120

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flyers +1.5 at the spread.

Flyers vs. Penguins player props

Who will score a goal in Flyers vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Bryan Rust is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flyers vs. Penguins.

Our projections give Rust a 38.1% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is an 8.1% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Trevor Zegras	29.9%
Owen Tippett	28.7%
Matvei Michkov	27.6%
Travis Konecny	27.4%
Carl Grundstrom	23.5%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Bryan Rust	38.1%
Sidney Crosby	36.0%
Rickard Rakell	30.6%
Evgeni Malkin	26.2%
Anthony Mantha	21.2%

First goal scorer predictions

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	First Goal Probability
Matvei Michkov	5.8%
Trevor Zegras	5.7%
Owen Tippett	5.6%
Travis Konecny	5.4%
Carl Grundstrom	4.0%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Bryan Rust	8.1%
Sidney Crosby	7.0%
Rickard Rakell	6.0%
Evgeni Malkin	5.2%
Anthony Mantha	4.3%

Flyers vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's matchup between the Penguins and Flyers at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Penguins, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers on Thursday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flyers vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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