Flyers vs. Capitals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [3/31/2026]

NHL action continues on Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET as the Philadelphia Flyers square off with the Washington Capitals at Capital One Arena.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Capitals a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Flyers.

This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's Flyers vs. Capitals matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Flyers vs. Caps prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL game between the Flyers and Capitals, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Capitals a 54% chance of defeating the Flyers.

According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 67% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over.

Flyers vs. Capitals odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Flyers	Capitals
Puck Line	+1.5 (-230)	-1.5 (+198)
Moneyline	+105	-125
Total	o5.5 (-120)	u5.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Flyers vs. Capitals picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Capitals -1.5	+198
Moneyline	Capitals	-125
Total	Over 5.5	-120

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Capitals -1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Flyers vs. Capitals player props

Who will score a goal in Flyers vs. Capitals?

According to our model, Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flyers vs. Capitals.

Our projections give Ovechkin a 32.0% chance of scoring a goal at Capital One Arena, while the star is a 5.9% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Owen Tippett	31.0%
Travis Konecny	30.7%
Matvei Michkov	27.0%
Trevor Zegras	22.0%
Noah Cates	21.8%

Washington Capitals

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin	32.0%
Tom Wilson	27.6%
Connor McMichael	26.6%
Dylan Strome	26.0%
Pierre-Luc Dubois	23.6%

First goal scorer predictions

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	First Goal Probability
Owen Tippett	6.5%
Travis Konecny	6.0%
Matvei Michkov	5.3%
Trevor Zegras	3.9%
Noah Cates	3.7%

Washington Capitals

Player	First Goal Probability
Alex Ovechkin	5.9%
Dylan Strome	5.3%
Tom Wilson	4.9%
Connor McMichael	4.7%
Pierre-Luc Dubois	4.6%

Flyers vs. Caps game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's action between the Capitals and Flyers at Capital One Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Washington Capitals
• Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Capital One Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Capitals, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flyers vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.