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Penguins vs. Islanders prediction: Islanders favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [3/30/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Pittsburgh Penguins vs NY Islanders predictions for NHL Monday.
NHL action continues on Monday at 7:00 PM ET as the Pittsburgh Penguins square off with the NY Islanders at UBS Arena.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Islanders a slight edge with a 53% win probability over the Penguins.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Penguins vs. Islanders matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Penguins vs. Isles prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's NHL matchup between the Penguins and Islanders, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Islanders a 53% chance of defeating the Penguins.
According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 55% chance of staying under.
Penguins vs. Islanders odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Penguins | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-210) | -1.5 (+195) |
| Moneyline | +110 | -128 |
| Total | o6.5 (+102) | u6.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Penguins vs. Islanders picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Penguins +1.5 | -210 |
| Moneyline | Penguins | +110 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -118 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Penguins vs. Islanders player props
Who will score a goal in Penguins vs. Islanders?
According to our model, Bo Horvat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Islanders.
Our projections give Horvat a 35.8% chance of scoring a goal at UBS Arena, while the star is a 7.0% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell | 33.1% |
| Bryan Rust | 31.8% |
| Anthony Mantha | 27.0% |
| Sidney Crosby | 26.3% |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 25.7% |
NY Islanders
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 35.8% |
| Anders Lee | 31.2% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 25.9% |
| Mathew Barzal | 23.3% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 21.2% |
First goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Rickard Rakell | 6.5% |
| Bryan Rust | 6.1% |
| Anthony Mantha | 5.0% |
| Sidney Crosby | 4.8% |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 4.7% |
NY Islanders
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bo Horvat | 7.0% |
| Anders Lee | 6.8% |
| Simon Holmstrom | 5.0% |
| Mathew Barzal | 4.3% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 4.0% |
Penguins vs. Isles game-day updates and essential details
Monday's matchup between the Islanders and Penguins at UBS Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. NY Islanders
- Date: Monday, March 30, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: UBS Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Islanders, with a 53% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penguins vs. Islanders insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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