Penguins vs. Flyers prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [4/29/2026]

NHL action continues on Wednesday at 7:30 PM ET as the Pittsburgh Penguins take on the Philadelphia Flyers in the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs at Xfinity Mobile Arena.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Flyers a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Penguins.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's Penguins vs. Flyers matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Penguins vs. Flyers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL Playoffs game between the Penguins and Flyers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Flyers a 52% chance of defeating the Penguins.

According to our model, the Penguins (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 56% chance of going over.

Penguins vs. Flyers odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Penguins	Flyers
Puck Line	+1.5 (-250)	-1.5 (+205)
Moneyline	+100	-118
Total	o5.5 (-120)	u5.5 (+102)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Penguins vs. Flyers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Flyers -1.5	+205
Moneyline	Penguins	+100
Total	Over 5.5	-120

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Penguins vs. Flyers player props

Who will score a goal in Penguins vs. Flyers?

According to our model, Rickard Rakell is most likely to score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Flyers.

Our projections give Rakell a 33.7% chance of scoring a goal at Xfinity Mobile Arena, while the star is a 7.1% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Rickard Rakell	33.7%
Bryan Rust	31.7%
Sidney Crosby	29.9%
Evgeni Malkin	26.6%
Anthony Mantha	24.1%

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Porter Martone	30.4%
Alex Bump	28.4%
Owen Tippett	26.9%
Tyson Foerster	26.9%
Travis Konecny	23.9%

First goal scorer predictions

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Rickard Rakell	7.1%
Bryan Rust	6.0%
Sidney Crosby	5.3%
Evgeni Malkin	5.1%
Anthony Mantha	4.1%

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	First Goal Probability
Porter Martone	5.4%
Tyson Foerster	5.1%
Owen Tippett	4.7%
Alex Bump	4.4%
Travis Konecny	4.0%

Penguins vs. Flyers game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's matchup between the Flyers and Penguins in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.

• Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Philadelphia Flyers
• Date: Wednesday, April 29, 2026
• Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
• Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is an elimination tournament in the National Hockey League to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.

A total of 16 teams, including the Penguins and Flyers, made the 2026 NHL Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round of the NHL Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Conclusion

We predict the Flyers, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins in Wednesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.