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Penguins vs. Kraken prediction: Pittsburgh favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [1/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Pittsburgh Penguins vs Seattle Kraken predictions for NHL Monday.
The Seattle Kraken and Pittsburgh Penguins will lock horns in the NHL at Climate Pledge Arena on Monday, starting at 5:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives the Penguins a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Kraken.
This article offers a closer look at Monday's Penguins vs. Kraken matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Penguins vs. Kraken prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL matchup between the Penguins and Kraken 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Penguins a 51% chance of defeating the Kraken.
According to our model, the Kraken (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 58% chance of going over.
Penguins vs. Kraken odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Penguins | Kraken |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+200) | +1.5 (-215) |
| Moneyline | -130 | +118 |
| Total | o5.5 (-122) | u5.5 (+110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Penguins vs. Kraken picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Kraken +1.5 | -215 |
| Moneyline | Kraken | +118 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -122 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.
Penguins vs. Kraken player props
Who will score a goal in Penguins vs. Kraken?
According to our model, Sidney Crosby is most likely to score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Kraken.
Our projections give Crosby a 35.0% chance of scoring a goal at Climate Pledge Arena, while the star is a 7.6% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 35.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 33.3% |
| Rickard Rakell | 29.1% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 22.2% |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 19.9% |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jared McCann | 26.4% |
| Matty Beniers | 23.9% |
| Jordan Eberle | 23.7% |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 22.7% |
| Jaden Schwartz | 22.0% |
First goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 7.6% |
| Bryan Rust | 6.6% |
| Rickard Rakell | 5.4% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 4.0% |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 3.6% |
Seattle Kraken
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jared McCann | 4.8% |
| Matty Beniers | 4.4% |
| Jaden Schwartz | 4.3% |
| Eeli Tolvanen | 4.1% |
| Jordan Eberle | 4.0% |
Penguins vs. Kraken game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Kraken and Penguins at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to commence at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Seattle Kraken
- Date: Monday, January 19, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Penguins, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Kraken on Monday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penguins vs. Kraken insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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