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Pirates vs. Mets prediction: Mets favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [3/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Saturday.
MLB action continues on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET as the Pittsburgh Pirates square off with the New York Mets at Citi Field.
The Mets will send David Peterson (0-0, 0.00 ERA) to the mound, while the Pirates have opted for Mitch Keller (0-0, 0.00 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' new and improved MLB model projects the Mets as the most likely winner of the Pirates vs. Mets game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Pirates vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's MLB game between the Pirates and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Mets a 60% chance of beating the Pirates.
According to our model, the Pirates (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 51% chance of going over.
Pirates vs. Mets odds [3/28/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Pirates | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-146) | -1.5 (+125) |
| Moneyline | +150 | -175 |
| Total | o7.5 (-102) | u7.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pirates vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Pirates +1.5 | -146 |
| Moneyline | Pirates | +150 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -102 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pirates vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Pirates at Citi Field is scheduled to start at 4:10 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets
- Date: Saturday, March 28, 2026
- Time: 4:10 PM ET/1:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Pirates on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pirates vs. Mets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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