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Rafael Jodar vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli prediction, odds, picks for ATP Barcelona Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Jodar vs Ugo Carabelli predictions for ATP Barcelona Open.
Rafael Jodar will face Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the round of 16 at the ATP Barcelona event on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Rafael Jodar as the most likely winner of the Jodar vs. Ugo Carabelli match.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Jodar vs. Ugo Carabelli prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Jodar-Ugo Carabelli men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Jodar a 78% chance of winning against Ugo Carabelli at the ATP Barcelona Open tournament.
Additionally, Jodar has a 73% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Ugo Carabelli (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the **over/under of 20.5 games has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Rafael Jodar vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jodar | Ugo Carabelli |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -500 | +391 |
| First Set | -333 | +250 |
| Game Spread | -5.5 (+105) | +5.5 (-165) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (-110) | u20.5 (-118) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Jodar vs. Ugo Carabelli picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ugo Carabelli | +391 |
| First Set | Ugo Carabelli | -110 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Camilo Ugo Carabelli to win.
Although Ugo Carabelli is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Jodar vs. Ugo Carabelli updates and essential details
The ATP Barcelona Open match between Rafael Jodar and Camilo Ugo Carabelli is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 10:00 AM ET.
- Who: Rafael Jodar vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli
- Date: Wednesday, April 15, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:00 AM ET/7:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Barcelona, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Rafael Jodar, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat Camilo Ugo Carabelli at the ATP Barcelona Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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