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Raphael Collignon vs. Matteo Berrettini prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Collignon vs Berrettini predictions for ATP Madrid Open.
Raphael Collignon will take on Matteo Berrettini in the round of 128 at the ATP Madrid event on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts an equal chance for both both teams to win the Collignon-Berrettini matchup.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Collignon vs. Berrettini prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Collignon-Berrettini men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently can't split the two players, giving both Collignon and Berrettini a 50% chance of winning the match.
Additionally, Collignon has a 51% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Berrettini (+1.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 23.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Raphael Collignon vs. Matteo Berrettini odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Collignon | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -118 | +102 |
| First Set | -125 | +100 |
| Game Spread | -1.5 (-110) | +1.5 (-150) |
| Total Games | o23.5 (-110) | u23.5 (-122) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Collignon vs. Berrettini picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Berrettini | +102 |
| First Set | Berrettini | -122 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Matteo Berrettini to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Collignon vs. Berrettini updates and essential details
The ATP Madrid Open match between Raphael Collignon and Matteo Berrettini is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 6:10 AM ET.
- Who: Raphael Collignon vs. Matteo Berrettini
- Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:10 AM ET/3:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict a close match between Collignon and Berrettini on Wednesday, with each player having a 50% chance of winning.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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