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Rice vs. Texas State prediction: Why Texas State is favored to win Armed Forces Bowl [2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Rice vs Texas State predictions for college football Friday.
Texas State and Rice will lock horns in the 2026 Armed Forces Bowl at Amon G. Carter Stadium on Friday, starting at 1:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college football model projects Texas State as the most likely winner of the Rice vs. Texas State game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Armed Forces Bowl prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of the 2026 Armed Forces Bowl 10,000 times as part of our college football predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Texas State an 88% chance of defeating Rice. Our predicted final score has Texas State winning 38-18.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and Rice and Texas State each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the 55.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Armed Forces Bowl odds
We have sourced the best college football odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rice | Texas State |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +19.5 (-110) | -19.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +700 | -900 |
| Total | o55.5 (-105) | u55.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rice vs. Texas State picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Texas State -19.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Rice | +700 |
| Total | Under 55.5 | -110 |
According to our college football best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 55.5 total points.
Rice vs. Texas State game-day updates and essential details
Friday's college football matchup between Texas State and Rice at Amon G. Carter Stadium is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.
- Who: Rice vs. Texas State
- Date: Friday, January 2, 2026
- Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
- Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium
Conclusion
We predict Texas State, with an 88% win probability, will likely beat Rice on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Rice vs. Texas State insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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