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Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Karen Khachanov prediction, odds, picks for ATP Miami Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Bautista Agut vs Khachanov predictions for ATP Miami Open.
Roberto Bautista Agut and Karen Khachanov will lock horns in the round of 64 of the ATP Miami Open event on Friday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Karen Khachanov as the most likely winner of the Bautista Agut vs. Khachanov match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Bautista Agut vs. Khachanov prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's Bautista Agut-Khachanov men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives Khachanov a 70% chance of defeating Bautista Agut at the ATP Miami Open tournament.
Additionally, Khachanov has a 66% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Khachanov (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Karen Khachanov odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bautista Agut | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +275 | -303 |
| First Set | +175 | -227 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (-102) | -3.5 (-132) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-104) | u22.5 (-130) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bautista Agut vs. Khachanov picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bautista Agut | +275 |
| First Set | Khachanov | -130 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Roberto Bautista Agut to win.
Although Bautista Agut is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bautista Agut vs. Khachanov updates and essential details
The ATP Miami Open match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Karen Khachanov is scheduled to start on Friday at 6:20 PM ET.
- Who: Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Karen Khachanov
- Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:20 PM ET/3:20PM PT
- Tournament: ATP Miami, USA Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Karen Khachanov, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat Roberto Bautista Agut at the ATP Miami Open tournament.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bautista Agut vs. Khachanov insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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