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Sharks vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [2/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get San Jose Sharks vs Colorado Avalanche predictions for NHL Wednesday.
The Colorado Avalanche and San Jose Sharks will meet in the NHL at Ball Arena on Wednesday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Sharks vs. Avalanche game.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Sharks vs. Avs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL matchup between the Sharks and Avalanche 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 71% chance of beating the Sharks.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Sharks and Avalanche each have a 50% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Sharks vs. Avalanche odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sharks | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-102) | -1.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +240 | -275 |
| Total | o6.5 (-112) | u6.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sharks vs. Avalanche picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Sharks +1.5 | -102 |
| Moneyline | Sharks | +240 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -102 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sharks +1.5 at the spread.
Sharks vs. Avalanche player props
Who will score a goal in Sharks vs. Avalanche?
According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Sharks vs. Avalanche.
Our projections give MacKinnon a 45.6% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is a 9.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 30.2% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 25.3% |
| Will Smith | 24.3% |
| Collin Graf | 19.4% |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 18.5% |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Nathan MacKinnon | 45.6% |
| Brock Nelson | 44.9% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 31.2% |
| Cale Makar | 31.1% |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 30.2% |
First goal scorer predictions
San Jose Sharks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 5.0% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 4.9% |
| Will Smith | 4.5% |
| Collin Graf | 3.4% |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 3.4% |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Brock Nelson | 9.6% |
| Nathan MacKinnon | 9.4% |
| Valeri Nichushkin | 5.7% |
| Artturi Lehkonen | 5.7% |
| Cale Makar | 5.4% |
Sharks vs. Avs game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Avalanche and Sharks at Ball Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: San Jose Sharks vs. Colorado Avalanche
- Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sharks vs. Avalanche insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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