Sharks vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [12/13/2025]

The Pittsburgh Penguins will square off with the San Jose Sharks in NHL action at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday, commencing at 3:00PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Penguins as the most likely winner of the Sharks vs. Penguins game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Sharks vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Sharks and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives the Penguins a 61% chance of defeating the Sharks.

According to our model, the Sharks (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

Sharks vs. Penguins odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Sharks	Penguins
Puck Line	+1.5 (-168)	-1.5 (+150)
Moneyline	+150	-165
Total	o6 (-120)	u6 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Sharks vs. Penguins picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Sharks +1.5	-168
Moneyline	Penguins	-165
Total	Under 6	+100

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Penguins to win.

Sharks vs. Penguins player props

Who will score a goal in Sharks vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Sidney Crosby is most likely to score an anytime goal in Sharks vs. Penguins.

Our projections give Crosby a 43.5% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 9.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

San Jose Sharks

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Macklin Celebrini	35.0%
Will Smith	29.1%
Tyler Toffoli	24.9%
Adam Gaudette	23.5%
William Eklund	23.3%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	43.5%
Bryan Rust	37.3%
Anthony Mantha	28.8%
Thomas Novak	27.1%
Kevin Hayes	22.5%

First goal scorer predictions

San Jose Sharks

Player	First Goal Probability
Macklin Celebrini	6.6%
Will Smith	5.6%
Tyler Toffoli	4.8%
William Eklund	4.2%
Adam Gaudette	4.2%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Sidney Crosby	9.3%
Bryan Rust	7.7%
Anthony Mantha	5.6%
Thomas Novak	5.1%
Ben Kindel	4.1%

Sharks vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's game between the Penguins and Sharks at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to start at 3:00PM ET.

• Who: San Jose Sharks vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date: Saturday, December 13, 2025
• Time: 3:00PM ET/12:00PM PT
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Penguins, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sharks vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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