Mariners vs. Astros prediction: Seattle favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [5/12/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros predictions for MLB Tuesday.

Seattle Mariners-Houston Astros Predictions and Game Preview.
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros MLB prediction for Tuesday, May 12, 2026.

The Houston Astros will take on the Seattle Mariners in MLB action at Daikin Park on Tuesday, commencing at 8:10 PM ET.

Tatsuya Imai (1-0, 7.27 ERA) will start on the mound for the Astros, while the Mariners are going with Bryan Woo (2-2, 4.02 ERA).

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Mariners as the most likely winner of the Mariners vs. Astros game.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Mariners vs. Astros prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's MLB game between the Mariners and Astros, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Mariners a 60% chance of defeating the Astros.

According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Mariners and Astros each have a 50% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 56% chance of going over.

 

Mariners vs. Astros odds [5/12/2026]

We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Mariners Astros
Run Line -1.5 (-121) +1.5 (+105)
Moneyline -180 +168
Total o8.5 (-120) u8.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mariners vs. Astros picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line Astros +1.5 +105
Moneyline Astros +168
Total Over 8.5 -120

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Astros to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Mariners vs. Astros game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's MLB game between the Astros and Mariners at Daikin Park is scheduled to commence at 8:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Mariners, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Astros in Tuesday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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