Mariners vs. Astros prediction: Seattle favored to win Tuesday's MLB matchup [5/12/2026]
Get Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros predictions for MLB Tuesday.

The Houston Astros will take on the Seattle Mariners in MLB action at Daikin Park on Tuesday, commencing at 8:10 PM ET.
Tatsuya Imai (1-0, 7.27 ERA) will start on the mound for the Astros, while the Mariners are going with Bryan Woo (2-2, 4.02 ERA).
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model predicts the Mariners as the most likely winner of the Mariners vs. Astros game.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mariners vs. Astros prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Mariners a 60% chance of defeating the Astros.
According to our model, the bookmakers have got it right, and the Mariners and Astros each have a 50% chance of covering the run line, while the 8.5-run over/under has a 56% chance of going over.
Mariners vs. Astros odds [5/12/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mariners | Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (-121) | +1.5 (+105) |
| Moneyline | -180 | +168 |
| Total | o8.5 (-120) | u8.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mariners vs. Astros picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Astros +1.5 | +105 |
| Moneyline | Astros | +168 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -120 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Astros to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mariners vs. Astros game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's MLB game between the Astros and Mariners at Daikin Park is scheduled to commence at 8:10 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
- Date: Tuesday, May 12, 2026
- Time: 8:10 PM ET/5:10PM PT
- Venue: Daikin Park
Conclusion
We predict the Mariners, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Astros in Tuesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



