Sebastian Baez vs. Holger Rune prediction, odds, picks for ATP Shanghai Masters 2025

Sebastian Baez and Holger Rune will meet in the round of 64 of the ATP Shanghai Masters event on Friday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Holger Rune as the most likely winner of the match.

For expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Baez vs. Rune predictions page.

Baez vs. Rune prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Baez-Rune men's singles match 10,000 times as part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Rune an 80% chance of defeating Baez at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

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Sebastian Baez vs. Holger Rune odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Baez	Rune
Moneyline	+380	-450
Game Spread	-4.5 (-126)	+4.5 (-106)
Total Games	o20.5 (-118)	u20.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Baez vs. Rune picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Baez vs. Rune match is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best tennis picks and tennis best bets for every tournament throughout the year.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Baez vs. Rune updates and essential details

The ATP Shanghai Masters match between Sebastian Baez and Holger Rune is scheduled to start on Friday at 1:40AM ET.

• Who: Sebastian Baez vs. Holger Rune
• Date: Friday, October 3, 2025
• Approx. Time: 1:40AM ET/10:40PM PT
• Tournament: ATP Shanghai, China Men's Singles 2025
• Round: Round of 64

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Dimers' comprehensive preview of Friday's Baez vs. Rune match includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Sebastian Baez vs. Holger Rune picks, be sure to check out the latest tennis predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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• Explore where sports odds come from and how they’re applied to tennis matches
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• Improve your chances with proven sports betting strategies that apply to tennis and more

Conclusion

We predict Holger Rune, with an 80% win probability, will likely beat Sebastian Baez at the ATP Shanghai Masters tournament.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Baez vs. Rune insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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