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Read Article Newcastle Knights vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs prediction: Rabbitohs favored to win Sunday's NRL Round 9 matchup [5/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Newcastle Knights vs South Sydney Rabbitohs predictions for NRL Sunday.
The Newcastle Knights and South Sydney Rabbitohs will lock horns in the National Rugby League (NRL) at McDonald Jones Stadium on Sunday, starting at 12:00 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NRL model predicts the Rabbitohs as the most likely winner of the Rabbitohs vs. Knights game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Knights vs. Rabbitohs prediction: Who will win Round 9 game?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NRL matchup between the Rabbitohs and Knights, forming part of our NRL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Rabbitohs a 64% chance of defeating the Knights.
According to our model, the Rabbitohs (-2.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 52.5 points has a 61% chance of staying under.
Souths vs. Knights odds
We have sourced the best NRL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rabbitohs | Knights |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -132 | +104 |
| Line (Spread) | -2.5 (-105) | +2.5 (-125) |
| Total | o52.5 (-110) | u52.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rabbitohs vs. Knights picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Rabbitohs -2.5 | bet_rivers_in-105 |
| Moneyline | Rabbitohs | bet_rivers_in-132 |
| Total | Under 52.5 | -115 |
According to our best NRL bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 52.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Knights vs. Rabbitohs game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rugby league game between the Knights and Rabbitohs at McDonald Jones Stadium is scheduled to start at 12:00 AM ET.
- Who: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Newcastle Knights
- Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
- Time: 12:00 AM ET/9:00PM PT
- Venue: McDonald Jones Stadium
The NRL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with there even being games played in Vegas each season as of 2024.
Conclusion
We predict the Rabbitohs, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat the Knights in Sunday's NRL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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